2025 Hurricane Season Tracks Show How Lucky We've Been — So Far Jonathan Erdman September 29, 2025 at 5:40 AM 0 The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, so far, might be the bestcase scenario in several aspects, particularly on minimal impacts, in at least 10 years.
- - 2025 Hurricane Season Tracks Show How Lucky We've Been — So Far
Jonathan Erdman September 29, 2025 at 5:40 AM
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The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, so far, might be the best-case scenario in several aspects, particularly on minimal impacts, in at least 10 years.
The Numbers
Through the morning of Sept. 29, nine named storms and three hurricanes have formed so far in the season.
That's one storm and two hurricanes off the average pace through the end of September, according to the National Hurricane Center.
One primary contributor to this has been a weirdly quiet first three-plus weeks of September — typically the most active month — as we discussed in a previous piece.
First 3 Hurricanes All 'Major'
Despite the lower hurricane count, Erin, Gabrielle and Humberto all were intense.
Each intensified to at least Category 4 at their peak, with both Erin and Humberto reaching Category 5 intensity. It was the fourth year in a row of at least one Atlantic Basin Category 5 hurricane, tied for the most consecutive years on record with 2016 through 2019.
Thankfully, they all did this in the central Atlantic Ocean, far from land, which leads us to the most stunning part.
The Track Map
But while the seasonal numbers say it's been a bit slow, it's the map of tracks so far that has been most incredible.
(Further beef up your forecast with our detailed, hour-by-hour breakdown for the next 8 days – only available on our Premium Pro experience.)
2025 Atlantic hurricane season tracks September 29What We Found Amazing About That Map
With 75% of an average hurricane season's activity now in the rear-view mirror, here are the aspects of that track map we've found most fascinating:
Only one storm made a mainland U.S. landfall so far, and that was short-lived Tropical Storm Chantal in early July.
There has not been a mainland U.S. hurricane landfall, so far. The last season without a single mainland U.S. hurricane landfall was 10 years ago, in 2015.
While parts of the Caribbean had some impacts from Hurricane Erin in mid-August, none of the nine tracks have been in the Caribbean Sea.
Only one storm was in the Gulf — short-lived Tropical Storm Barry in late June.
Six of the nine storms, including three major hurricanes, remained or are forecast to stay over the central Atlantic Ocean or did a C-shaped curl into the open North Atlantic.
It's about the best possible track map we could hope for any hurricane season through September.
(For even more granular weather data tracking in your area, view your 15-minute details forecast in our Premium Pro experience.)
Some Impacts, Though
Despite this, the three aforementioned storms had at least some impacts in the U.S.
Remnant spin and moisture from Barry contributed to the deadly July Fourth Texas flood.
Chantal dumped flooding rain and spawned a few weak tornadoes in central North Carolina, including parts of Chapel Hill and Durham.
And Hurricane Erin tracked just close enough to the East Coast to produce tropical-storm-force winds along the North Carolina coast and Virginia Tidewater, not to mention some significant coastal flooding along parts of the East Coast.
Don't Expect That To Last
Apart from the latest tropical activity here in late September, about 25% of an average hurricane season's activity happens after Sept. 29.
October is still usually an active month, particularly from the western Caribbean Sea into the eastern Gulf and off the Southeast U.S. coast.
So don't let your guard down yet in the Caribbean, Gulf or along the U.S. coast. Keep your hurricane plan ready to go, in case most of this season's activity ends up at the end.
Jonathan Erdman is a senior meteorologist at weather.com and has been covering national and international weather since 1996. His lifelong love of meteorology began with a close encounter with a tornado as a child in Wisconsin. Extreme and bizarre weather are his favorite topics. Reach out to him on X (formerly Twitter), Threads, Facebook and Bluesky.
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